Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 18:00 •
De Geusselt
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.75)
0.79 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.8% | 24.6% | 18.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Helmond Sport | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MVV | 0 | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 26% | 16% |
| Defense | 37% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 35% | 17% | 26% | 39% | 12% | 26% |
| Draws | 24% | 28% | 26% | 28% | 18% | 23% |
| Loses | 41% | 56% | 49% | 33% | 71% | 51% |
Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLDWLLDDWDLLL • Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDLLDDLDLWWLLDLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 15 | 41 | 29 | 11 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 33 | 38 | 71 | 28 | 33 | 61 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MVV | Helmond Sport | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 89% | 71% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 54% | 34% | 51% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 34% | 6% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 20% | 3% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-0 | 2-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MVV | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.3% |
Advice: Double chance : MVV or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away2.55 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
MVV
vs
Helmond Sport
Expected goals
1.63
MVV xG
League Avg: 1.75
Total
2.42
0.79
Helmond Sport xG
League Avg: 1.44
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.8%
Draw
24.6%
Away
18.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.5%
Tip
2 - 0
11.8%
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
72%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.62 (league 1.76), Helmond Sport = 0.80 (league 1.43)
| Helmond Sport | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MVV | 0 | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 18.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1