Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 03:00 •
Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.47)
0.86 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.1% | 24.1% | 19.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Mictlán | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marquense | 0 | 7.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marquense | Mictlán |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 69% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marquense | Mictlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 20 | 40 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| Wins | 60% | 5% | 33% | 48% | 14% | 31% |
| Draws | 25% | 15% | 20% | 33% | 14% | 24% |
| Loses | 15% | 80% | 48% | 19% | 71% | 45% |
Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLLLLWLDLLWLDLDWWWLWWL • Mictlán: LDDLDWDLWWWLWLLLLLDLWDLLWDLLLDLWDLWWLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Marquense | Mictlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 12 | 37 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 15 | 42 | 57 | 14 | 39 | 53 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marquense | Mictlán | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 73% | 60% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 45% | 31% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 18% | 5% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marquense | Mictlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marquense | Mictlán |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marquense | Mictlán |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 2-3 | 8-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marquense | Mictlán |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Marquense or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.71 @ 188Bet
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away5.30 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.87 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Marquense
vs
Mictlán
Expected goals
1.68
Marquense xG
League Avg: 1.47
Total
2.54
0.86
Mictlán xG
League Avg: 0.74
1x2 probabilities
Home
56.1%
Draw
24.1%
Away
19.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.3%
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
Tip
2 - 0
11.1%
More chances
1.5+
67%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 1.68 (league 1.47), Mictlán = 0.86 (league 0.74)
| Mictlán | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marquense | 0 | 7.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 19.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1