Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:30 • Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.63) 0.91 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 30.5% 29.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Zaglebie Lubin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 13.3% 12.2% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack38%31%
Defense81%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Zaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%14%25%50%36%43%
Draws43%50%46%36%21%29%
Loses21%36%29%14%43%29%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDLLLDDWDWDDWD • Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDWDWLWDDWLDWWLWDWWWLLLW

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Zaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
GF total171633251742
GF avg1.21.11.21.81.21.5
GA total122032122133
GA avg0.91.41.10.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%75%75%68%
1.529%32%46%32%
2.57%7%14%11%
3.54%0%7%4%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
Clean sheets527639
Failed to score426437

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin
Wins13
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-26-21-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-25-1
Goals For4263
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Legia Warszawa or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.92 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 10Bet
No1.91 @ Bet365
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Legia Warszawa
vs
Zaglebie Lubin
Ekstraklasa • Poland • Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:30 • Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef
Expected goals
1.10
Legia Warszawa xG League Avg: 1.63
Total
2.02
0.91
Zaglebie Lubin xG League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
39.5%
Draw
30.5%
Away
29.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.7%
Tip
1 - 1
13.4%
Tip
0 - 0
13.3%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
#LegiaWarszawa #ZaglebieLubin #Ekstraklasa #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 1.10 (league 1.63), Zaglebie Lubin = 0.91 (league 1.18)

Zaglebie Lubin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 13.3% 12.2% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.4% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 29.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1