FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln

Bundesliga — Germany

Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:30 • Millerntor-Stadion

Not Started

FC St. Pauli

—

1. FC Köln

Expected Goals

1.11 (league 1.62) 1.36 (league 1.46)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
30.5%	27.0%	42.2%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.8%

0 - 1

11.5%

1 - 0

9.4%

Score & goals probability table

		1. FC Köln
		0	1	2	3	4	5
FC St. Pauli	0	8.5%	11.5%	7.8%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
	1	9.4%	12.8%	8.7%	3.9%	1.3%	0.4%
	2	5.2%	7.1%	4.8%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	FC St. Pauli	1. FC Köln
Played	5	5
Form	13%	40%
Attack	12%	59%
Defense	41%	47%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	10 \| 2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	9 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%

FT probability

2.5+

58%

FT probability

3.5+

41%

FT probability

BTTS

74%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	FC St. Pauli			1. FC Köln
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	15	29	15	14	29
Wins	29%	13%	21%	33%	14%	24%
Draws	29%	20%	24%	27%	36%	31%
Loses	43%	67%	55%	40%	50%	45%

Form: FC St. Pauli: DWWLLLLLLLLLDWDLLDDLWLWWDLLDL • 1. FC Köln: WWDLLWDLWLLDDLLDLWLWLLDLLDDDW

League goals

Metric	FC St. Pauli			1. FC Köln
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	14	11	25	28	15	43
GF avg	1.0	0.7	0.9	1.9	1.1	1.5
GA total	25	25	50	25	25	50
GA avg	1.8	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.8	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	FC St. Pauli		1. FC Köln
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	59%	83%	86%	90%
1.5	24%	52%	34%	55%
2.5	3%	24%	21%	24%
3.5	0%	10%	7%	3%
4.5	0%	3%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	FC St. Pauli			1. FC Köln
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	3	5	1	2	3
Failed to score	6	6	12	1	3	4

Penalties

Metric	FC St. Pauli	1. FC Köln
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	2

Streaks

Metric	FC St. Pauli	1. FC Köln
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	9	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	0-2	4-1	0-1
Biggest losses	0-5	4-0	1-3	3-1
Goals For	3	2	4	3
Goals Against	5	4	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	FC St. Pauli	1. FC Köln
Form	25%	75%
Att	17%	83%
Def	47%	53%
Poisson Distribution	44%	56%
H2h	7%	93%
Goals	23%	77%
Total	27.2%	72.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or 1. FC Köln

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365

Draw3.39 @ 1xBet

Away3.15 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ 1xBet

Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet

No1.95 @ 10Bet

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

FC St. Pauli

1. FC Köln

Bundesliga • Germany • Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:30 • Millerntor-Stadion

Expected goals

1.11

FC St. Pauli xG League Avg: 1.62

Total

2.47

1.36

1. FC Köln xG League Avg: 1.46

1x2 probabilities

Home

30.5%

Draw

27.0%

Away

42.2%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

12.8%

Tip

0 - 1

11.5%

Tip

1 - 0

9.4%

More chances

1.5+

82%

Chance

2.5+

58%

Chance

3.5+

41%

Chance

BTTS

74%

Chance

🟨 Cards

1 - 3

Exp.

#FcStPauli #1FcKöln #Bundesliga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): FC St. Pauli = 1.11 (league 1.62), 1. FC Köln = 1.36 (league 1.46)

		1. FC Köln
		0	1	2	3	4	5
FC St. Pauli	0	8.5%	11.5%	7.8%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
	1	9.4%	12.8%	8.7%	3.9%	1.3%	0.4%
	2	5.2%	7.1%	4.8%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 42.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	FC St. Pauli	1. FC Köln
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	2