Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Bundesliga — Germany

Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:30 • Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Match Finished

Union Berlin

3 - 1

RB Leipzig

Expected Goals

1.21 (league 1.62) 1.34 (league 1.46)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
33.3%	26.6%	39.7%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.7%

0 - 1

10.5%

1 - 0

9.4%

Score & goals probability table

		RB Leipzig
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Union Berlin	0	7.8%	10.5%	7.0%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
	1	9.4%	12.6%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
	2	5.7%	7.6%	5.1%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
	3	2.3%	3.1%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Played	5	5
Form	33%	67%
Attack	23%	55%
Defense	68%	82%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	12 \| 2.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%

FT probability

2.5+

59%

FT probability

3.5+

42%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Union Berlin			RB Leipzig
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	6	13	6	7	13
Wins	29%	33%	31%	100%	43%	69%
Draws	43%	0%	23%	0%	29%	15%
Loses	29%	67%	46%	0%	29%	15%

Form: Union Berlin: WLLWDLWLDDWLL • RB Leipzig: LWWWWDWWWLWDW

League goals

Metric	Union Berlin			RB Leipzig
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	6	16	18	10	28
GF avg	1.4	1.0	1.2	3.0	1.4	2.2
GA total	10	12	22	3	10	13
GA avg	1.4	2.0	1.7	0.5	1.4	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Union Berlin		RB Leipzig
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	62%	77%	85%	46%
1.5	38%	54%	54%	15%
2.5	15%	31%	31%	15%
3.5	8%	8%	15%	8%
4.5	0%	0%	15%	8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Union Berlin			RB Leipzig
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	1	3	3	4	7
Failed to score	2	3	5	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Wins	1	4
Draws	2	1
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	3-4	6-0	0-6
Biggest losses	2-4	3-0	—	6-0
Goals For	3	4	6	6
Goals Against	4	3	1	6

Model comparison

Metric	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Form	33%	67%
Att	29%	71%
Def	36%	64%
Poisson Distribution	45%	55%
H2h	38%	62%
Goals	25%	75%
Total	34.3%	65.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or RB Leipzig

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.17 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle

Away2.44 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet

Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365

No2.20 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Union Berlin

RB Leipzig

Bundesliga • Germany • Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:30 • Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Expected goals

1.21

Union Berlin xG League Avg: 1.62

Total

2.55

1.34

RB Leipzig xG League Avg: 1.46

1x2 probabilities

Home

33.3%

Draw

26.6%

Away

39.7%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

12.7%

Tip

0 - 1

10.5%

Tip

1 - 0

9.4%

More chances

1.5+

84%

Chance

2.5+

59%

Chance

3.5+

42%

Chance

BTTS

64%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#UnionBerlin #RbLeipzig #Bundesliga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin = 1.21 (league 1.62), RB Leipzig = 1.34 (league 1.46)

		RB Leipzig
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Union Berlin	0	7.8%	10.5%	7.0%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
	1	9.4%	12.6%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
	2	5.7%	7.6%	5.1%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
	3	2.3%	3.1%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 39.7%

vtt 38 , vtd1

Metric	Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0