Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:30 •
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.20)
0.44 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.2% | 29.7% | 12.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
0 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ternana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ascoli | 0 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ascoli | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 40% | 47% |
| Defense | 67% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ascoli | Ternana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 30% | 45% |
| Draws | 40% | 30% | 35% | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Loses | 10% | 20% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Form: Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDWLDWDDL • Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Ascoli | Ternana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ascoli | Ternana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 35% | 75% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 10% | 40% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 5% | 10% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ascoli | Ternana | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ascoli | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ascoli | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ascoli | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Ascoli or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Superbet
Away3.40 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ascoli
vs
Ternana
Expected goals
1.27
Ascoli xG
League Avg: 1.20
Total
1.71
0.44
Ternana xG
League Avg: 1.09
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.2%
Draw
29.7%
Away
12.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
22.9%
Tip
0 - 0
18.0%
Tip
2 - 0
14.6%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ascoli = 1.27 (league 1.20), Ternana = 0.44 (league 1.09)
| Ternana | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ascoli | 0 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 12.9%
vtt 23 , vtd1