Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 20:00 •
Johan Cruijff Arena
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.73)
0.83 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.8% | 21.9% | 16.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sparta Rotterdam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ajax | 0 | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 62% | 23% | 42% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
| Draws | 23% | 62% | 42% | 31% | 8% | 19% |
| Loses | 15% | 15% | 15% | 31% | 46% | 38% |
Form: Ajax: WDWDWDWDLWDLLWWWDWDWDDWDDL • Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWWLLDLWLWWWWWDDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 24 | 48 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 23 | 34 | 20 | 23 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 77% | 81% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 65% | 46% | 31% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 8% | 12% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ajax | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ajax or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away4.38 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ajax
vs
Sparta Rotterdam
Expected goals
1.87
Ajax xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
2.70
0.83
Sparta Rotterdam xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
60.8%
Draw
21.9%
Away
16.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
12.6%
Tip
2 - 0
11.8%
Tip
1 - 1
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ajax = 1.87 (league 1.73), Sparta Rotterdam = 0.83 (league 1.35)
| Sparta Rotterdam | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ajax | 0 | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 16.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1