PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior

Eredivisie — Netherlands

Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 12:30 • MAC³PARK Stadion

Match Finished

PEC Zwolle

2 - 2

Excelsior

Expected Goals

1.50 (league 1.73) 0.98 (league 1.35)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
49.0%	26.0%	24.5%

best score tips

1 - 0

12.6%

1 - 1

12.3%

2 - 0

9.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Excelsior
		0	1	2	3	4	5
PEC Zwolle	0	8.4%	8.2%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	12.6%	12.3%	6.0%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	9.5%	9.2%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	4.7%	4.6%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.8%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	PEC Zwolle	Excelsior
Played	5	5
Form	40%	7%
Attack	31%	23%
Defense	38%	38%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%

FT probability

2.5+

58%

FT probability

3.5+

41%

FT probability

BTTS

75%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	PEC Zwolle			Excelsior
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	15	29	15	14	29
Wins	50%	7%	28%	27%	21%	24%
Draws	21%	40%	31%	13%	29%	21%
Loses	29%	53%	41%	60%	50%	55%

Form: PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLDDLWDWLWLDWLWLLDDDDWL • Excelsior: LLLWLWLLWLDLWWLWLDDDDWLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric	PEC Zwolle			Excelsior
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	18	20	38	14	15	29
GF avg	1.3	1.3	1.3	0.9	1.1	1.0
GA total	17	41	58	21	28	49
GA avg	1.2	2.7	2.0	1.4	2.0	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	PEC Zwolle		Excelsior
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	83%	83%	76%	83%
1.5	38%	55%	24%	59%
2.5	7%	21%	0%	10%
3.5	3%	17%	0%	10%
4.5	0%	10%	0%	7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	PEC Zwolle			Excelsior
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	1	5	3	2	5
Failed to score	4	1	5	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	PEC Zwolle	Excelsior
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	3

Streaks

Metric	PEC Zwolle	Excelsior
Wins	2	2
Draws	4	4
Losses	3	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	0-2	2-1	0-2
Biggest losses	0-4	8-2	0-2	5-0
Goals For	4	2	2	2
Goals Against	4	8	2	5

Model comparison

Metric	PEC Zwolle	Excelsior
Form	86%	14%
Att	57%	43%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	61%	39%
H2h	60%	40%
Goals	56%	44%
Total	61.7%	38.3%

Advice: Double chance : PEC Zwolle or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano

Draw3.95 @ 188Bet

Away3.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ SBO

Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill

No2.41 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

PEC Zwolle

Excelsior

Eredivisie • Netherlands • Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 12:30 • MAC³PARK Stadion

Expected goals

1.50

PEC Zwolle xG League Avg: 1.73

Total

2.48

0.98

Excelsior xG League Avg: 1.35

1x2 probabilities

Home

49.0%

Draw

26.0%

Away

24.5%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

12.6%

Tip

1 - 1

12.3%

Tip

2 - 0

9.5%

More chances

1.5+

83%

Chance

2.5+

58%

Chance

3.5+

41%

Chance

BTTS

75%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 3

Exp.

#PecZwolle #Excelsior #Eredivisie #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): PEC Zwolle = 1.50 (league 1.73), Excelsior = 0.98 (league 1.35)

		Excelsior
		0	1	2	3	4	5
PEC Zwolle	0	8.4%	8.2%	4.0%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	12.6%	12.3%	6.0%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	9.5%	9.2%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	4.7%	4.6%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.8%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 24.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	PEC Zwolle	Excelsior
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	3