Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk

Eerste Divisie — Netherlands

Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 19:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst

Match Finished

Jong Ajax

0 - 2

Waalwijk

Expected Goals

1.28 (league 1.75) 1.66 (league 1.44)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
29.4%	24.1%	45.6%

best score tips

1 - 1

11.2%

1 - 2

9.3%

0 - 1

8.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Waalwijk
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Jong Ajax	0	5.0%	8.5%	7.2%	4.1%	1.7%	0.6%
	1	6.5%	11.0%	9.3%	5.3%	2.2%	0.8%
	2	4.2%	7.2%	6.1%	3.4%	1.5%	0.5%
	3	1.8%	3.1%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
	4	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Jong Ajax	Waalwijk
Played	5	5
Form	20%	27%
Attack	32%	18%
Defense	55%	68%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%

FT probability

2.5+

64%

FT probability

3.5+

46%

FT probability

BTTS

76%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Jong Ajax			Waalwijk
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	10	20	10	10	20
Wins	20%	0%	10%	40%	30%	35%
Draws	40%	20%	30%	20%	30%	25%
Loses	40%	80%	60%	40%	40%	40%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLL • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLLL

League goals

Metric	Jong Ajax			Waalwijk
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	14	13	27	16	15	31
GF avg	1.4	1.3	1.4	1.6	1.5	1.6
GA total	16	24	40	17	16	33
GA avg	1.6	2.4	2.0	1.7	1.6	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Jong Ajax		Waalwijk
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	75%	85%	85%	85%
1.5	40%	65%	45%	55%
2.5	15%	35%	15%	20%
3.5	5%	15%	10%	5%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Jong Ajax			Waalwijk
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	0	3	2	1	3
Failed to score	3	2	5	0	3	3

Penalties

Metric	Jong Ajax	Waalwijk
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Jong Ajax	Waalwijk
Wins	1	2
Draws	3	1
Losses	4	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	—	4-2	1-4
Biggest losses	2-4	4-1	1-4	3-1
Goals For	4	3	4	4
Goals Against	4	4	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	Jong Ajax	Waalwijk
Form	43%	57%
Att	64%	36%
Def	41%	59%
Poisson Distribution	43%	57%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	47%	53%
Total	48.0%	52.0%

Advice: Double chance : Jong Ajax or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Unibet

Draw4.19 @ Pinnacle

Away1.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle

No2.66 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Jong Ajax

Waalwijk

Eerste Divisie • Netherlands • Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 19:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst

Expected goals

1.28

Jong Ajax xG League Avg: 1.75

Total

2.95

1.66

Waalwijk xG League Avg: 1.44

1x2 probabilities

Home

29.4%

Draw

24.1%

Away

45.6%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

11.2%

Tip

1 - 2

9.3%

Tip

0 - 1

8.7%

More chances

1.5+

91%

Chance

2.5+

64%

Chance

3.5+

46%

Chance

BTTS

76%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 3

Exp.

#JongAjax #Waalwijk #EersteDivisie #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.30 (league 1.72), Waalwijk = 1.69 (league 1.42)

		Waalwijk
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Jong Ajax	0	5.0%	8.5%	7.2%	4.1%	1.7%	0.6%
	1	6.5%	11.0%	9.3%	5.3%	2.2%	0.8%
	2	4.2%	7.2%	6.1%	3.4%	1.5%	0.5%
	3	1.8%	3.1%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
	4	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 45.9%

vtt 7 , vtd1

Metric	Jong Ajax	Waalwijk
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2