Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 19:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.79) 1.69 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.2% 23.9% 46.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 5.3% 8.9% 7.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.6% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxWaalwijk
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack32%18%
Defense55%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Waalwijk
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%0%10%40%30%35%
Draws40%20%30%20%30%25%
Loses40%80%60%40%40%40%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLL • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLLL

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Waalwijk
HATHAT
GF total141327161531
GF avg1.41.31.41.61.51.6
GA total162440171633
GA avg1.62.42.01.71.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxWaalwijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%85%85%85%
1.540%65%45%55%
2.515%35%15%20%
3.55%15%10%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxWaalwijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score325033

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxWaalwijk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxWaalwijk
Wins12
Draws31
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—4-21-4
Biggest losses2-44-11-43-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxWaalwijk
Form43%57%
Att64%36%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : Jong Ajax or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Unibet
Draw4.19 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.66 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.25 (league 1.79), Waalwijk = 1.69 (league 1.42)

Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 5.3% 8.9% 7.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.6% 11.2% 9.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.0% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.2% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 46.9%

vtt 7 , vtd1