League Two
— England
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
SMH Group Stadium
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.35)
1.25 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.7% | 25.8% | 32.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Grimsby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chesterfield | 0 | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chesterfield | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 31% | 92% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chesterfield | Grimsby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 21 | 42 | 22 | 19 | 41 |
| Wins | 43% | 43% | 43% | 50% | 42% | 46% |
| Draws | 38% | 33% | 36% | 23% | 32% | 27% |
| Loses | 19% | 24% | 21% | 27% | 26% | 27% |
Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWWLDDDLWDWDWDLWLWLWWWD • Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLDLDLDLLDWWWWWDDWDLWWDLWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Chesterfield | Grimsby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 30 | 64 | 37 | 25 | 62 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 23 | 30 | 53 | 22 | 23 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chesterfield | Grimsby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 69% | 80% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 33% | 39% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 14% | 17% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chesterfield | Grimsby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chesterfield | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chesterfield | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 7-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chesterfield | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.77 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.16 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.42 (league 1.35), Grimsby = 1.25 (league 1.14)
| Grimsby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chesterfield | 0 | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 32.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
