League Two — England
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.35) 1.25 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 25.8% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 6.9% 8.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.3% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 8.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldGrimsby
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack31%92%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Grimsby
HATHAT
Played212142221941
Wins43%43%43%50%42%46%
Draws38%33%36%23%32%27%
Loses19%24%21%27%26%27%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWWLDDDLWDWDWDLWLWLWWWD • Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWLWLDLDLDLLDWWWWWDDWDLWWDLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Grimsby
HATHAT
GF total343064372562
GF avg1.61.41.51.71.31.5
GA total233053222345
GA avg1.11.41.31.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldGrimsby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%69%80%61%
1.543%33%39%37%
2.519%14%17%12%
3.52%5%5%0%
4.50%2%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldGrimsby
HATHAT
Clean sheets76138816
Failed to score325448

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldGrimsby
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldGrimsby
Wins35
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-27-10-2
Biggest losses0-36-21-33-0
Goals For4373
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldGrimsby
Form45%55%
Att25%75%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h71%29%
Goals50%50%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.77 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.16 @ Unibet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Chesterfield
vs
Grimsby
League Two • England • Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 • SMH Group Stadium
Expected goals
1.42
Chesterfield xG League Avg: 1.35
Total
2.67
1.25
Grimsby xG League Avg: 1.14
1x2 probabilities
Home
40.7%
Draw
25.8%
Away
32.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.3%
Tip
1 - 0
9.8%
Tip
2 - 1
8.7%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
#Chesterfield #Grimsby #LeagueTwo #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.42 (league 1.35), Grimsby = 1.25 (league 1.14)

Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 6.9% 8.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.3% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.0% 8.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 32.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1