Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 19:45 • Vicarage Road
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.38) 0.48 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.1% 13.5% 5.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.9%
3 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 5.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.8% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack64%43%
Defense79%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Portsmouth
HATHAT
Played131225131124
Wins62%25%44%38%9%25%
Draws31%33%32%23%36%29%
Loses8%42%24%38%55%46%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWW • Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLLLDLWLLLWDDWL

League goals

Metric Watford Portsmouth
HATHAT
GF total23143714721
GF avg1.81.21.51.10.60.9
GA total121729142135
GA avg0.91.41.21.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordPortsmouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%84%63%79%
1.548%28%21%38%
2.516%4%4%17%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score134459

Penalties

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
Wins11
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-10-25-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricWatfordPortsmouth
Form62%38%
Att60%40%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total63.3%36.7%

Advice: Winner : Watford

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 2.48 (league 1.38), Portsmouth = 0.48 (league 1.11)

Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 5.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.8% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 5.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1