Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade Paul-Lignon
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.39)
1.52 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.6% | 25.3% | 44.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Le Mans | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodez | 0 | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rodez | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 73% | 45% |
| Defense | 27% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rodez | Le Mans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 22% | 28% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Draws | 44% | 33% | 39% | 30% | 50% | 39% |
| Loses | 22% | 44% | 33% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
Form: Rodez: DLDWWLWLDDLWLLDDWD • Le Mans: DLWLLDWDDWWDWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Rodez | Le Mans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 17 | 26 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rodez | Le Mans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 83% | 78% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 44% | 33% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rodez | Le Mans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rodez | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rodez | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rodez | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Rodez or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Rodez
vs
Le Mans
Expected goals
1.19
Rodez xG
League Avg: 1.39
Total
2.71
1.52
Le Mans xG
League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.6%
Draw
25.3%
Away
44.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.0%
Tip
0 - 1
10.1%
Tip
1 - 2
9.2%
More chances
1.5+
72%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Rodez = 1.19 (league 1.39), Le Mans = 1.52 (league 1.18)
| Le Mans | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodez | 0 | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 44.5%
vtt 14 , vtd1