Rodez vs Bastia - footywow

Ligue 2 — France

Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Paul-Lignon

Match Finished

Rodez

1 - 1

Bastia

Expected Goals

0.79 (league 1.39) 0.34 (league 1.18)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
43.8%	41.5%	14.7%

best score tips

0 - 0

32.2%

1 - 0

25.6%

0 - 1

10.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Bastia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Rodez	0	32.2%	10.9%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	25.6%	8.7%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	10.2%	3.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Rodez	Bastia
Played	5	5
Form	87%	20%
Attack	75%	38%
Defense	75%	25%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%

FT probability

2.5+

38%

FT probability

3.5+

27%

FT probability

BTTS

59%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Rodez			Bastia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	14	27	13	13	26
Wins	38%	43%	41%	15%	8%	12%
Draws	46%	29%	37%	31%	46%	38%
Loses	15%	29%	22%	54%	46%	50%

Form: Rodez: DLDWWLWLDDLWLLDDWDDWDWWWDWW • Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLDWWLDDDDLDL

League goals

Metric	Rodez			Bastia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	14	20	34	7	7	14
GF avg	1.1	1.4	1.3	0.5	0.5	0.5
GA total	11	21	32	17	13	30
GA avg	0.8	1.5	1.2	1.3	1.0	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Rodez		Bastia
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	81%	78%	38%	65%
1.5	33%	30%	15%	38%
2.5	11%	7%	0%	12%
3.5	0%	4%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Rodez			Bastia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	2	6	5	4	9
Failed to score	2	3	5	7	9	16

Penalties

Metric	Rodez	Bastia
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1

Streaks

Metric	Rodez	Bastia
Wins	3	2
Draws	2	4
Losses	2	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	1-3	1-0	0-2
Biggest losses	1-2	4-0	1-3	2-0
Goals For	2	3	2	2
Goals Against	2	4	3	2

Model comparison

Metric	Rodez	Bastia
Form	81%	19%
Att	67%	33%
Def	75%	25%
Poisson Distribution	69%	31%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	56%	44%
Total	69.8%	30.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rodez or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ William Hill

Draw3.20 @ 188Bet

Away3.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ SBO

Under 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet

No1.94 @ Unibet

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Rodez vs Bastia

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Rodez

Bastia

Ligue 2 • France • Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Paul-Lignon

Expected goals

0.79

Rodez xG League Avg: 1.39

Total

1.13

0.34

Bastia xG League Avg: 1.18

1x2 probabilities

Home

43.8%

Draw

41.5%

Away

14.7%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 0

32.2%

Tip

1 - 0

25.6%

Tip

0 - 1

10.9%

More chances

1.5+

54%

Chance

2.5+

38%

Chance

3.5+

27%

Chance

BTTS

59%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Rodez #Bastia #Ligue2 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Rodez = 0.79 (league 1.39), Bastia = 0.34 (league 1.18)

		Bastia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Rodez	0	32.2%	10.9%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	25.6%	8.7%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	10.2%	3.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 14.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Rodez	Bastia
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1