Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 18:45 •
Stade Paul-Lignon
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.39)
0.84 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.5% | 35.9% | 35.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
17.7%
1 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Estac Troyes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodez | 0 | 21.2% | 17.7% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rodez | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 36% | 93% |
| Defense | 79% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rodez | Estac Troyes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 40% | 38% | 80% | 36% | 59% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 41% | 7% | 43% | 24% |
| Loses | 14% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 21% | 17% |
Form: Rodez: DLDWWLWLDDLWLLDDWDDWDWWWDWWDD • Estac Troyes: WDWLWWWWDWDWDLWDWWWLLLDWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Rodez | Estac Troyes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 21 | 36 | 35 | 16 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 17 | 13 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rodez | Estac Troyes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 79% | 79% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 28% | 55% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 7% | 24% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rodez | Estac Troyes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rodez | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rodez | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rodez | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Rodez or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Dafabet
Away2.11 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rodez = 0.71 (league 1.39), Estac Troyes = 0.84 (league 1.18)
| Estac Troyes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rodez | 0 | 21.2% | 17.7% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 35.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1
