Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Nouste Camp
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.39)
1.90 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.3% | 22.3% | 47.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Guingamp | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PAU | 0 | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PAU | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 24% | 24% |
| Defense | 65% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PAU | Guingamp | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 47% | 37% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 27% | 30% | 31% | 36% | 33% |
| Loses | 40% | 27% | 33% | 31% | 36% | 33% |
Form: PAU: WDWDLWWWWDLLDDLWLDLDWWLLLDWDLW • Guingamp: DLLWWLWWDDLDWDWLLWWWLDLDDDWLLD
League goals
| Metric | PAU | Guingamp | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 22 | 41 | 19 | 20 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 24 | 24 | 48 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PAU | Guingamp | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 67% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 50% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 27% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PAU | Guingamp | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | PAU | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | PAU | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PAU | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Guingamp
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away2.33 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.19 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
PAU
vs
Guingamp
Expected goals
1.41
PAU xG
League Avg: 1.39
Total
3.30
1.90
Guingamp xG
League Avg: 1.18
1x2 probabilities
Home
28.3%
Draw
22.3%
Away
47.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.8%
Tip
1 - 2
9.3%
Tip
0 - 1
7.0%
More chances
1.5+
82%
Chance
2.5+
58%
Chance
3.5+
41%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): PAU = 1.40 (league 1.39), Guingamp = 1.88 (league 1.19)
| Guingamp | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PAU | 0 | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 47.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1