Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Olympisch Stadion
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.46)
1.25 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.1% | 24.2% | 28.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lommel United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beerschot VA | 0 | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 44% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Lommel United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 53% | 63% | 58% | 50% | 47% | 48% |
| Draws | 27% | 19% | 23% | 19% | 33% | 26% |
| Loses | 20% | 19% | 19% | 31% | 20% | 26% |
Form: Beerschot VA: WDDWWWWWDWLWWWLLLLWDDWWLDWWWWWD • Lommel United: DWDWWLWLWDLDDLWWWWWWLDLWWLDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Lommel United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 27 | 50 | 29 | 29 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Beerschot VA | Lommel United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 61% | 81% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 23% | 68% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 10% | 32% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Lommel United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 57.2% | 42.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Beerschot VA or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.03 @ Dafabet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Beerschot VA
vs
Lommel United
Expected goals
1.65
Beerschot VA xG
League Avg: 1.46
Total
2.90
1.25
Lommel United xG
League Avg: 1.37
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.1%
Draw
24.2%
Away
28.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
Tip
1 - 0
9.1%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Beerschot VA = 1.62 (league 1.48), Lommel United = 1.26 (league 1.36)
| Lommel United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beerschot VA | 0 | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 29.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1