Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 18:00 • Estadi Johan Cruyff
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.20 (league 1.49) 0.20 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.7% 5.9% 1.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
17.1%
4 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona W 0 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.2% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.6% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelona WAtletico Madrid W
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack100%52%
Defense91%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)27 | 5.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

65%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins100%86%93%50%43%47%
Draws0%0%0%38%43%40%
Loses0%14%7%13%14%13%

Form: Barcelona W: WWWWWWWWLWWWWWW • Atletico Madrid W: WWWDWDLDWWWLDDD

League goals

Metric Barcelona W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total423274201939
GF avg5.34.64.92.52.72.6
GA total13415621
GA avg0.10.40.31.90.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelona WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%27%93%60%
1.593%0%67%33%
2.573%0%40%13%
3.573%0%40%13%
4.547%0%20%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelona WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411336
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricBarcelona WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricBarcelona WAtletico Madrid W
Wins83
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins12-11-84-00-5
Biggest losses—1-00-62-1
Goals For12855
Goals Against1162

Model comparison

MetricBarcelona WAtletico Madrid W
Form71%29%
Att69%31%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total79.5%20.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.05 @ William Hill
Draw15.69 @ Pinnacle
Away61.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes4.00 @ 188Bet
No1.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Barcelona W = 3.20 (league 1.49), Atletico Madrid W = 0.20 (league 1.35)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona W 0 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.2% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.6% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.7% Ā· Draw 5.9% Ā· Away win 1.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1