Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 10:30 •
Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Expected Goals
5.32 (league 1.64)
0.44 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
best score tips
5 - 0
11.2%
4 - 0
10.5%
3 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Hatayspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erzurumspor FK | 0 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 100% | 20% |
| Defense | 87% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 24 | 4.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 60% | 64% | 62% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 40% | 21% | 31% | 29% | 20% | 24% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 7% | 71% | 80% | 76% |
Form: Erzurumspor FK: WDDWDWDDDDWWDLWLDWWWWWWWWWWWW • Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDLLDLLDLLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 43 | 25 | 68 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 97% | 48% | 55% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 66% | 17% | 14% | 79% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 3% | 3% | 59% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 28% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 89% | 11% |
| Def | 88% | 12% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Erzurumspor FK and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Erzurumspor FK = 5.32 (league 1.64), Hatayspor = 0.44 (league 1.27)
| Hatayspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erzurumspor FK | 0 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 1.6% · Away win 0.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1