Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 10:30 •
Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Expected Goals
5.38 (league 1.62)
0.44 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
best score tips
5 - 0
11.1%
4 - 0
10.3%
3 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Hatayspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erzurumspor FK | 0 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 0% |
| Attack | 100% | 18% |
| Defense | 71% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 60% | 60% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 10% | 73% | 80% | 77% |
Form: Erzurumspor FK: WDDWDWDDDDWWDLWLDWWWWWWWWWWWWL • Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDLLDLLDLLLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 43 | 26 | 69 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 37 | 45 | 82 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 97% | 50% | 57% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 20% | 13% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 7% | 3% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 12 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 74% | 26% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 63.6% | 36.4% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Erzurumspor FK and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.05 @ William Hill
Draw17.00 @ Bet365
Away61.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes3.00 @ Betfair
No1.40 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.18 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.74 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Erzurumspor FK
vs
Hatayspor
Expected goals
5.38
Erzurumspor FK xG
League Avg: 1.62
Total
5.83
0.44
Hatayspor xG
League Avg: 1.26
1x2 probabilities
Home
52.9%
Draw
1.6%
Away
0.4%
Best score tips
Tip
5 - 0
11.1%
Tip
4 - 0
10.3%
Tip
3 - 0
7.7%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
70%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Erzurumspor FK = 5.38 (league 1.62), Hatayspor = 0.44 (league 1.26)
| Hatayspor | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Erzurumspor FK | 0 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 1.6% · Away win 0.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1