Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 •
The Meadow
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.51)
1.30 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5% | 26.0% | 35.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| AFC Hornchurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chesham United | 0 | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chesham United | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 42% | 67% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chesham United | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 36% | 42% | 54% | 58% | 56% |
| Draws | 17% | 29% | 23% | 38% | 17% | 28% |
| Loses | 33% | 36% | 35% | 8% | 25% | 16% |
Form: Chesham United: WWDDLLDDLWDWLWWDLLLWLWWLWW • AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWWDWLDLWLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Chesham United | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 13 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chesham United | AFC Hornchurch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 69% | 84% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 27% | 52% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 32% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chesham United | AFC Hornchurch | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chesham United | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chesham United | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chesham United | AFC Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Hornchurch
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chesham United = 1.37 (league 1.51), AFC Hornchurch = 1.30 (league 1.25)
| AFC Hornchurch | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chesham United | 0 | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 35.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1