Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
Edgar Street
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.56)
1.33 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.0% | 24.1% | 30.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Oxford City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hereford | 0 | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hereford | Oxford City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 37% | 47% |
| Defense | 68% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hereford | Oxford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 23 | 42 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 37% | 22% | 29% | 45% | 14% | 30% |
| Draws | 16% | 26% | 21% | 9% | 43% | 26% |
| Loses | 47% | 52% | 50% | 45% | 43% | 44% |
Form: Hereford: LLWLLWDDWWLDLDLLDWLLDDLLLWLWDWWWLLLLLLLWWD • Oxford City: LWDLLLWLLLDLLDLWWLDLLWDLDWLWLLDWLDWLDWWWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Hereford | Oxford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 25 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 56 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 32 | 41 | 73 | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hereford | Oxford City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 83% | 72% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 60% | 35% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 19% | 14% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 10% | 5% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 2% | 5% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hereford | Oxford City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hereford | Oxford City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hereford | Oxford City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hereford | Oxford City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Oxford City
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.40 @ William Hill
Draw3.50 @ BetVictor
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.55 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hereford = 1.64 (league 1.56), Oxford City = 1.33 (league 1.28)
| Oxford City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hereford | 0 | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 30.9%
vtt 4 , vtd1
