Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 12:00 •
Indomilk Arena
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.52)
0.63 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.9% | 37.9% | 26.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.3%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Semen Padang | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Persepam Madura Utd | 0 | 24.3% | 15.2% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 40% | 33% |
| Defense | 40% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Semen Padang | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 17% | 25% | 21% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Draws | 33% | 38% | 36% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
| Loses | 50% | 38% | 43% | 63% | 83% | 71% |
Form: Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLDLDWLDWLLD • Semen Padang: LWDLLLLLLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Semen Padang | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Persepam Madura Utd | Semen Padang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 79% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 14% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Semen Padang | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Semen Padang |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Semen Padang
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.60 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Persepam Madura Utd
vs
Semen Padang
Expected goals
0.79
Persepam Madura Utd xG
League Avg: 1.52
Total
1.41
0.63
Semen Padang xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
35.9%
Draw
37.9%
Away
26.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
24.3%
Tip
1 - 0
19.2%
Tip
0 - 1
15.2%
More chances
1.5+
62%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Persepam Madura Utd = 0.79 (league 1.52), Semen Padang = 0.63 (league 1.20)
| Semen Padang | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Persepam Madura Utd | 0 | 24.3% | 15.2% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 37.9% · Away win 26.2%
vtt 11 , vtd1