Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 12:00 •
Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.52)
0.82 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.3% | 37.1% | 36.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
19.0%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Persebaya Surabaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Persepam Madura Utd | 0 | 23.2% | 19.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 71% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Persebaya Surabaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 25% | 27% | 50% | 14% | 33% |
| Draws | 29% | 38% | 33% | 25% | 71% | 47% |
| Loses | 43% | 38% | 40% | 25% | 14% | 20% |
Form: Persepam Madura Utd: LWDLDLDWLDWLLDW • Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDLDWDDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Persebaya Surabaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Persepam Madura Utd | Persebaya Surabaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 80% | 80% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 27% | 27% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 13% | 13% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Persebaya Surabaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Persepam Madura Utd | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Persebaya Surabaya
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.64 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Persepam Madura Utd
vs
Persebaya Surabaya
Expected goals
0.64
Persepam Madura Utd xG
League Avg: 1.52
Total
1.46
0.82
Persebaya Surabaya xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
26.3%
Draw
37.1%
Away
36.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
23.2%
Tip
0 - 1
19.0%
Tip
1 - 0
14.9%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Persepam Madura Utd = 0.64 (league 1.52), Persebaya Surabaya = 0.82 (league 1.20)
| Persebaya Surabaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Persepam Madura Utd | 0 | 23.2% | 19.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 36.6%
vtt 4 , vtd1