Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 15:15 •
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.49)
0.75 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 22.1% | 14.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Padova | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Frosinone | 0 | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Frosinone | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 7% |
| Attack | 63% | 21% |
| Defense | 68% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Frosinone | Padova | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 17 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 60% | 53% | 56% | 19% | 31% | 25% |
| Draws | 27% | 41% | 34% | 44% | 19% | 31% |
| Loses | 13% | 6% | 9% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
Form: Frosinone: WDWDWWLLDWWDWWWWWDWDWDLWWDDDWDWW • Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWDLWLLLDWLDWDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Frosinone | Padova | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 31 | 62 | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Frosinone | Padova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 66% | 72% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 3% | 3% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Frosinone | Padova | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Frosinone | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Frosinone | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Frosinone | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92% | 8% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 65.2% | 35.0% |
Advice: Winner : Frosinone
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.80 @ Superbet
Away6.70 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Frosinone
vs
Padova
Expected goals
1.83
Frosinone xG
League Avg: 1.49
Total
2.58
0.75
Padova xG
League Avg: 1.08
1x2 probabilities
Home
62.0%
Draw
22.1%
Away
14.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
13.9%
Tip
2 - 0
12.7%
Tip
1 - 1
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Frosinone = 1.84 (league 1.49), Padova = 0.75 (league 1.09)
| Padova | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Frosinone | 0 | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 14.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1