Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 18:00 •
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Expected Goals
5.30 (league 1.81)
0.30 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
best score tips
5 - 0
12.9%
4 - 0
12.2%
3 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Lens W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lyon W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lyon W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 88% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 23 | 4.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
82%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lyon W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
Form: Lyon W: WWWWWWWWWWW • Lens W: DDLLLLLLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Lyon W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 25 | 49 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 28 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lyon W | Lens W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 45% | 82% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 91% | 0% | 27% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 82% | 0% | 9% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 0% | 0% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 55% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lyon W | Lens W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lyon W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lyon W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 11 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-8 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-8 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lyon W | Lens W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 96% | 4% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 89% | 11% |
| Total | 84.2% | 15.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Lyon W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lyon W = 5.30 (league 1.81), Lens W = 0.30 (league 1.34)
| Lens W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lyon W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.2% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.8% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1