Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio de La Condomina
Expected Goals
2.89 (league 1.24)
0.89 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.5%
3 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Málaga II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ucam Murcia | 0 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 75% | 75% |
| Defense | 38% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 27% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 27% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 20% | 17% |
| Loses | 7% | 47% | 27% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
Form: Ucam Murcia: LWDDDWWWDLWLWWWLWLWWDLWLWDDWWL • Málaga II: LLDDLLLLLWDLLLLLLLWLWDDLLLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 17 | 43 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 23 | 32 | 55 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ucam Murcia | Málaga II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 67% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Málaga II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ucam Murcia | Málaga II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Ucam Murcia or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.27 @ Dafabet
Draw6.00 @ Unibet
Away13.00 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.55 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Ucam Murcia
vs
Málaga II
Expected goals
2.89
Ucam Murcia xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
3.78
0.89
Málaga II xG
League Avg: 0.91
1x2 probabilities
Home
70.9%
Draw
13.2%
Away
8.6%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
9.5%
Tip
3 - 0
9.2%
Tip
2 - 1
8.5%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Ucam Murcia = 2.89 (league 1.24), Málaga II = 0.89 (league 0.91)
| Málaga II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ucam Murcia | 0 | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 8.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1