Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 17:30 • Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.66) 2.39 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 19.1% 55.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 1
7.4%
1 - 3
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
NEOM
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ettifaq 0 2.2% 5.2% 6.2% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4%
1 3.1% 7.4% 8.9% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.4% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.1% 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-EttifaqNEOM
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack53%32%
Defense63%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Ettifaq NEOM
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%57%47%25%57%40%
Draws38%14%27%13%14%13%
Loses25%29%27%63%29%47%

Form: Al-Ettifaq: WDLWLLDDWWDWWLW • NEOM: LWWWLDWLDWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Al-Ettifaq NEOM
HATHAT
GF total12132581321
GF avg1.51.91.71.01.91.4
GA total141125141125
GA avg1.81.61.71.81.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-EttifaqNEOM
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%87%93%
1.553%53%40%47%
2.520%20%13%27%
3.57%13%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-EttifaqNEOM
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricAl-EttifaqNEOM
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAl-EttifaqNEOM
Wins23
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-12-3
Biggest losses0-54-11-33-2
Goals For3423
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricAl-EttifaqNEOM
Form77%23%
Att63%38%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.8%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Al-Ettifaq or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 10Bet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Ettifaq = 1.44 (league 1.66), NEOM = 2.39 (league 1.43)

NEOM
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Ettifaq 0 2.2% 5.2% 6.2% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4%
1 3.1% 7.4% 8.9% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.4% 5.1% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.1% 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 55.1%

vtt 3 , vtd1