Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 12:00 •
Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.77)
1.11 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.9% | 26.0% | 28.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Groene Ster | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blauw Geel | 0 | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 47% | 33% |
| Defense | 40% | 7% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Groene Ster | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 31% | 50% | 41% | 46% | 14% | 30% |
| Draws | 31% | 14% | 22% | 15% | 29% | 22% |
| Loses | 38% | 36% | 37% | 38% | 57% | 48% |
Form: Blauw Geel: WWWDLWLWLWWLLLDDDLWDLWWLWDL • Groene Ster: LDWDDLWLLWWLWWLLDDDLLWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Groene Ster | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 22 | 39 | 17 | 28 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Blauw Geel | Groene Ster | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 74% | 67% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 48% | 44% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 19% | 19% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Groene Ster | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Blauw Geel | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 70.5% | 29.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Blauw Geel or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ Betfair
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away3.75 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.17 @ Marathonbet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Blauw Geel
vs
Groene Ster
Expected goals
1.47
Blauw Geel xG
League Avg: 1.77
Total
2.58
1.11
Groene Ster xG
League Avg: 1.52
1x2 probabilities
Home
44.9%
Draw
26.0%
Away
28.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.4%
Tip
1 - 0
11.2%
Tip
2 - 1
9.1%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Blauw Geel = 1.47 (league 1.77), Groene Ster = 1.11 (league 1.52)
| Groene Ster | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blauw Geel | 0 | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.9% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 28.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1