Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 19:00 •
The Proctor Cars Stadium
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 2.20)
2.64 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.7% | 18.2% | 42.1% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.6%
2 - 3
5.8%
1 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sheffield United U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby County U21 | 0 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derby County U21 | Sheffield United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 100% |
| Attack | 70% | 60% |
| Defense | 50% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
66%
FT probability
BTTS
98%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derby County U21 | Sheffield United U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Derby County U21: LWDLD • Sheffield United U21: WWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Derby County U21 | Sheffield United U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 5.0 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derby County U21 | Sheffield United U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 80% | 100% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derby County U21 | Sheffield United U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derby County U21 | Sheffield United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derby County U21 | Sheffield United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-2 | — | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derby County U21 | Sheffield United U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sheffield United U21 and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.41 @ Pinnacle
No2.88 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derby County U21 = 2.28 (league 2.20), Sheffield United U21 = 2.64 (league 1.51)
| Sheffield United U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby County U21 | 0 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 42.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
