First League
— Bulgaria
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 15:45 •
National Stadium Vasil Levski
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.30)
1.01 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 27.1% | 27.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Arda Kardzhali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CSKA Sofia | 0 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 73% |
| Attack | 90% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 56% | 30% | 42% | 20% | 44% | 32% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 37% | 40% | 22% | 32% |
| Loses | 11% | 30% | 21% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
Form: CSKA Sofia: DDLDLDWLDDDWWWWWWWL • Arda Kardzhali: LDWDLDLWLLWLDLWWDDW
League goals
| Metric | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 7 | 13 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 74% | 47% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 11% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 0% | 16% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Arda Kardzhali
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.66 @ Superbet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away6.40 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
CSKA Sofia
vs
Arda Kardzhali
Expected goals
1.38
CSKA Sofia xG
League Avg: 1.30
Total
2.39
1.01
Arda Kardzhali xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
45.2%
Draw
27.1%
Away
27.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
12.8%
Tip
1 - 0
12.7%
Tip
0 - 1
9.2%
More chances
1.5+
66%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): CSKA Sofia = 1.38 (league 1.30), Arda Kardzhali = 1.01 (league 1.11)
| Arda Kardzhali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CSKA Sofia | 0 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 27.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1