Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.27)
1.06 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.3% | 33.6% | 49.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
22.2%
0 - 0
20.8%
0 - 2
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tau Altopascio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 20.8% | 22.2% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Tau Altopascio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 45% | 45% |
| Defense | 91% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Tau Altopascio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 23% | 38% | 31% | 64% | 42% | 54% |
| Draws | 54% | 31% | 42% | 21% | 33% | 27% |
| Loses | 23% | 31% | 27% | 14% | 25% | 19% |
Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLWWDDDLDWDWWD • Tau Altopascio: WWDWLWLDWWWWDWWLWDWWDWDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Tau Altopascio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 29 | 12 | 41 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montevarchi Calcio | Tau Altopascio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 58% | 69% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 27% | 58% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 19% | 19% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Tau Altopascio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Tau Altopascio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Tau Altopascio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Tau Altopascio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Montevarchi Calcio or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 0.50 (league 1.27), Tau Altopascio = 1.06 (league 1.03)
| Tau Altopascio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 20.8% | 22.2% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 49.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1