Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Alfredo Giraud
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.30) 0.46 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.2% 15.9% 6.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.9%
1 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Acireale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Savoia 0 6.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.2% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.5% 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSavoiaAcireale
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack73%55%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Savoia Acireale
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins75%40%56%20%25%22%
Draws25%20%22%50%13%33%
Loses0%40%22%30%63%44%

Form: Savoia: DDWWDDWLWWWLWWLWLW • Acireale: LDLLLDWWLWDDLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Savoia Acireale
HATHAT
GF total14173112820
GF avg1.81.71.71.21.01.1
GA total41317131326
GA avg0.51.30.91.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSavoiaAcireale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%72%94%
1.544%17%28%44%
2.522%11%11%6%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSavoiaAcireale
HATHAT
Clean sheets426011
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricSavoiaAcireale
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSavoiaAcireale
Wins32
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-62-11-3
Biggest losses—3-11-23-0
Goals For4623
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricSavoiaAcireale
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total64.5%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Savoia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.92 @ Marathonbet
Away6.30 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Marathonbet
No1.63 @ Marathonbet
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League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Savoia
vs
Acireale
Serie D - Girone I • Italy • Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Alfredo Giraud
Expected goals
2.22
Savoia xG League Avg: 1.30
Total
2.68
0.46
Acireale xG League Avg: 1.08
1x2 probabilities
Home
75.2%
Draw
15.9%
Away
6.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
16.9%
Tip
1 - 0
15.2%
Tip
3 - 0
12.5%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
69%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Savoia #Acireale #SerieDGironeI #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Savoia = 2.22 (league 1.30), Acireale = 0.46 (league 1.08)

Acireale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Savoia 0 6.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.2% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.5% 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.2% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 6.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1