Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.41) 1.76 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 21.2% 33.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Nesher 0 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.5% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIroni NesherHapoel Bnei Musmus
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack45%55%
Defense0%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ironi Nesher Hapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
Played78159615
Wins43%25%33%33%17%27%
Draws14%25%20%44%33%40%
Loses43%50%47%22%50%33%

Form: Ironi Nesher: DWWLDWLWLDWLLLL • Hapoel Bnei Musmus: DLDLDWWWLLDWDDL

League goals

Metric Ironi Nesher Hapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
GF total136199716
GF avg1.90.81.31.01.21.1
GA total13152813922
GA avg1.91.91.91.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIroni NesherHapoel Bnei Musmus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%87%80%
1.540%60%20%40%
2.57%40%0%13%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIroni NesherHapoel Bnei Musmus
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricIroni NesherHapoel Bnei Musmus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricIroni NesherHapoel Bnei Musmus
Wins23
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-10-1
Biggest losses1-34-00-53-2
Goals For3222
Goals Against3453

Model comparison

MetricIroni NesherHapoel Bnei Musmus
Form33%67%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Bnei Musmus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ironi Nesher = 2.02 (league 1.41), Hapoel Bnei Musmus = 1.76 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Nesher 0 2.3% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.1% 5.5% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 33.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1