Sat, Apr 18 2026 ⢠16:00 ā¢
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.50)
1.15 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.1% | 25.8% | 29.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Revilla | 0 | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Revilla | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 23% | 46% |
| Defense | 23% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Revilla | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 13% | 20% | 53% | 13% | 33% |
| Draws | 27% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 47% | 73% | 60% | 20% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Revilla: LLLDWLWLLWWWDDWLLDLDLLLLLLLLDL ⢠Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWLDLWLLLWLWLWDDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Revilla | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 10 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 29 | 30 | 59 | 15 | 25 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Revilla | Castro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 87% | 63% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 60% | 33% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 37% | 13% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Revilla | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Revilla | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Revilla | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-5 | 9-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Revilla | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Castro
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Revilla = 1.47 (league 1.50), Castro = 1.15 (league 1.15)
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Revilla | 0 | 7.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% Ā· Draw 25.8% Ā· Away win 29.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
