Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 23:00 •
Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.48)
1.01 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
2 - 0
8.9%
3 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Aurora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Municipal | 0 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Municipal | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 25% |
| Defense | 50% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Municipal | Aurora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 19 | 39 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| Wins | 80% | 32% | 56% | 63% | 17% | 41% |
| Draws | 15% | 37% | 26% | 32% | 28% | 30% |
| Loses | 5% | 32% | 18% | 5% | 56% | 30% |
Form: Municipal: DWWDWDDWWDWWLWDWWLWWWWWDWLWLDWWWDDWLWLL • Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLWLWLWLLLDDWLWLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Municipal | Aurora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 42 | 20 | 62 | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 14 | 34 | 48 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Municipal | Aurora | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 59% | 73% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 18% | 41% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 0% | 8% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Municipal | Aurora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Municipal | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Municipal | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Municipal | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Municipal or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Municipal = 2.70 (league 1.48), Aurora = 1.01 (league 0.76)
| Aurora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Municipal | 0 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 11.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1