Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 21:00 •
Stade du 5 Juillet
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.29)
0.40 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 33.6% | 13.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| ES Setif | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| USM Alger | 0 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | USM Alger | ES Setif |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 23% | 38% |
| Defense | 69% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | USM Alger | ES Setif | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 22% | 33% | 28% | 45% | 9% | 27% |
| Draws | 67% | 56% | 61% | 45% | 27% | 36% |
| Loses | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 64% | 36% |
Form: USM Alger: DWDLDDWWDDWDWDDLDD • ES Setif: DDDWLLDLWDDWLLDWLDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | USM Alger | ES Setif | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | USM Alger | ES Setif | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 61% | 64% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 17% | 23% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 9% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | USM Alger | ES Setif | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | USM Alger | ES Setif |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | USM Alger | ES Setif |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | USM Alger | ES Setif |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.5% | 43.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : USM Alger or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.63 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away6.31 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.70 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.51 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
USM Alger
vs
ES Setif
Expected goals
1.09
USM Alger xG
League Avg: 1.29
Total
1.48
0.40
ES Setif xG
League Avg: 0.81
1x2 probabilities
Home
52.9%
Draw
33.6%
Away
13.4%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
24.7%
Tip
0 - 0
22.7%
Tip
2 - 0
13.4%
More chances
1.5+
55%
Chance
2.5+
39%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): USM Alger = 1.09 (league 1.29), ES Setif = 0.40 (league 0.81)
| ES Setif | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| USM Alger | 0 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 13.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1