Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 14:00 •
Amarante Stadium
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.23)
1.29 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 26.0% | 34.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.6%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Academica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Amarante | 0 | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Amarante | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 80% |
| Attack | 57% | 71% |
| Defense | 79% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Amarante | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 58% | 50% | 54% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 25% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 17% | 33% | 25% | 8% | 33% | 21% |
Form: Amarante: LWDLDLLWWDLWWWWWDDLWWWWW • Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDDDWWDWLWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Amarante | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 8 | 15 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Amarante | Academica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 58% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 29% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 4% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Amarante | Academica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Amarante | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Amarante | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Amarante | Academica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Amarante or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Amarante = 1.37 (league 1.23), Academica = 1.29 (league 1.05)
| Academica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Amarante | 0 | 7.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 34.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1
