Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 17:00 • Hamz Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.34) 1.49 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.4% 23.5% 33.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
Express 0 4.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.1% 10.5% 7.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExpressPolice
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack44%33%
Defense44%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Express Police
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%0%24%64%30%48%
Draws20%55%38%9%40%24%
Loses30%45%38%27%30%29%

Form: Express: WLDLDWDLWLLLWLDDDDDLW • Police: DWDLWWWLWDWWWLDWDLLWL

League goals

Metric Express Police
HATHAT
GF total16218171431
GF avg1.60.20.91.51.41.5
GA total9132291423
GA avg0.91.21.00.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExpressPolice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%62%86%71%
1.519%24%48%29%
2.519%14%10%5%
3.510%5%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExpressPolice
HATHAT
Clean sheets358426
Failed to score4913213

Penalties

MetricExpressPolice
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricExpressPolice
Wins13
Draws51
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—4-01-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-24-1
Goals For4143
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricExpressPolice
Form60%40%
Att57%43%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Express or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ 1xBet
Draw2.95 @ Dafabet
Away2.30 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Express
vs
Police
Premier League • Uganda • Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 17:00 • Hamz Stadium
Expected goals
1.67
Express xG League Avg: 1.34
Total
3.16
1.49
Police xG League Avg: 0.85
1x2 probabilities
Home
41.4%
Draw
23.5%
Away
33.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
10.6%
Tip
2 - 1
8.8%
Tip
1 - 2
7.9%
More chances
1.5+
70%
Chance
2.5+
49%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
#Express #Police #PremierLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Express = 1.67 (league 1.34), Police = 1.49 (league 0.84)

Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
Express 0 4.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.1% 10.5% 7.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1