Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade El Massira
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.44)
0.84 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.5% | 27.5% | 22.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| USM Alger | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympique Safi | 0 | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olympique Safi | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olympique Safi | USM Alger | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 67% | 43% | 54% | 67% | 40% | 55% |
| Draws | 17% | 43% | 31% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 17% | 14% | 15% | 0% | 40% | 18% |
Form: Olympique Safi: WWWLWLWWWDDDD • USM Alger: LWWWWDWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Olympique Safi | USM Alger | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olympique Safi | USM Alger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 54% | 64% | 36% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 15% | 36% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olympique Safi | USM Alger | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olympique Safi | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olympique Safi | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olympique Safi | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or USM Alger and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Olympique Safi
vs
USM Alger
Expected goals
1.39
Olympique Safi xG
League Avg: 1.44
Total
2.23
0.84
USM Alger xG
League Avg: 0.83
1x2 probabilities
Home
49.5%
Draw
27.5%
Away
22.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.9%
Tip
1 - 1
12.6%
Tip
0 - 0
10.8%
More chances
1.5+
63%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Olympique Safi = 1.39 (league 1.44), USM Alger = 0.84 (league 0.83)
| USM Alger | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympique Safi | 0 | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.9% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 22.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1