First League
— Russia
Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadion Shinnik
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.24)
0.78 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 33.1% | 28.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.2%
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Arsenal Tula | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 | 17.2% | 13.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 100% |
| Defense | 75% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Arsenal Tula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 14% | 29% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
| Draws | 36% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Loses | 21% | 36% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Form: Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDDWLWDLLWDDDDW • Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDDLWWWDDDLLWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Arsenal Tula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Arsenal Tula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 54% | 82% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 21% | 39% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Arsenal Tula | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.58 @ 1xBet
Draw3.09 @ 1xBet
Away2.98 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ Marathonbet
No1.71 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Shinnik Yaroslavl
vs
Arsenal Tula
Expected goals
0.98
Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
League Avg: 1.24
Total
1.76
0.78
Arsenal Tula xG
League Avg: 1.07
1x2 probabilities
Home
38.7%
Draw
33.1%
Away
28.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
17.2%
Tip
1 - 0
16.8%
Tip
0 - 1
13.5%
More chances
1.5+
60%
Chance
2.5+
42%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
65%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.98 (league 1.24), Arsenal Tula = 0.78 (league 1.07)
| Arsenal Tula | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0 | 17.2% | 13.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 28.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1