Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 •
Giant Axe Stadium
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.47)
0.77 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.2% | 27.6% | 20.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Morpeth Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lancaster City | 0 | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lancaster City | Morpeth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 53% | 29% |
| Defense | 59% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lancaster City | Morpeth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 41% | 39% | 40% | 44% | 12% | 29% |
| Draws | 29% | 22% | 26% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Loses | 29% | 39% | 34% | 39% | 71% | 54% |
Lancaster CityLLWWDWWWWWDWDLDDLWWLLLDLWDDLWLWLWDL
Morpeth TownLLLWLLDDLLLWLWWLWDDWLWLLLWLLLDDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Lancaster City | Morpeth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 26 | 46 | 18 | 15 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 17 | 26 | 43 | 17 | 29 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lancaster City | Morpeth Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 66% | 66% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 14% | 6% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lancaster City | Morpeth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lancaster City | Morpeth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lancaster City | Morpeth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lancaster City | Morpeth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.93 @ Dafabet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away3.67 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ Superbet
No1.98 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Lancaster City
vs
Morpeth Town
Expected goals
1.39
Lancaster City xG
League Avg: 1.47
Total
2.16
0.77
Morpeth Town xG
League Avg: 1.16
1x2 probabilities
Home
51.2%
Draw
27.6%
Away
20.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
16.0%
Tip
1 - 1
12.4%
Tip
0 - 0
11.5%
More chances
1.5+
68%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Lancaster City = 1.39 (league 1.47), Morpeth Town = 0.77 (league 1.16)
| Morpeth Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lancaster City | 0 | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 20.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1