Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 11:00 • Bukovyna Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.26) 0.39 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.5% 9.6% 3.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.0%
3 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Yarud Mariupol'
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bukovyna 0 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.2% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.0% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBukovynaYarud Mariupol'
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack100%90%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bukovyna Yarud Mariupol'
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins82%91%86%36%18%27%
Draws18%9%14%18%27%23%
Loses0%0%0%45%55%50%
BukovynaDDWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWW
Yarud Mariupol'LLDWLWDLLLLLDLWWLDWDLW

League goals

Metric Bukovyna Yarud Mariupol'
HATHAT
GF total26255110919
GF avg2.42.32.30.90.80.9
GA total61016121628
GA avg0.50.90.71.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBukovynaYarud Mariupol'
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%59%55%77%
1.582%9%23%36%
2.545%5%5%14%
3.514%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBukovynaYarud Mariupol'
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score1124610

Penalties

MetricBukovynaYarud Mariupol'
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBukovynaYarud Mariupol'
Wins132
Draws21
Losses05

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-32-01-4
Biggest losses——0-23-0
Goals For4424
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricBukovynaYarud Mariupol'
Form65%35%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h100%0%
Goals70%30%
Total68.6%31.4%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Bukovyna
vs
Yarud Mariupol'
Persha Liga • Ukraine • Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 11:00 • Bukovyna Stadium
Expected goals
2.85
Bukovyna xG League Avg: 1.26
Total
3.23
0.39
Yarud Mariupol' xG League Avg: 1.04
1x2 probabilities
Home
80.5%
Draw
9.6%
Away
3.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
16.0%
Tip
3 - 0
15.2%
Tip
1 - 0
11.2%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
#Bukovyna #YarudMariupol #PershaLiga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Bukovyna = 2.85 (league 1.26), Yarud Mariupol' = 0.39 (league 1.04)

Yarud Mariupol'
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bukovyna 0 3.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.2% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.0% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.5% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 3.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1