Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 19:00 •
Old Trafford
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.52)
0.85 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0% | 16.1% | 10.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Leeds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester United | 0 | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchester United | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 82% | 9% |
| Defense | 45% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchester United | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 67% | 31% | 48% | 38% | 7% | 23% |
| Draws | 20% | 44% | 32% | 31% | 47% | 39% |
| Loses | 13% | 25% | 19% | 31% | 47% | 39% |
Manchester UnitedLDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDDDWWWWDWWLWD
LeedsWLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWDLWDDLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Manchester United | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 26 | 56 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 17 | 26 | 43 | 20 | 28 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchester United | Leeds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 84% | 65% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | 32% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 10% | 19% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchester United | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchester United | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchester United | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchester United | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 90% | 10% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 69.7% | 30.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw4.40 @ 188Bet
Away5.60 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.71 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.33 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Manchester United
vs
Leeds
Expected goals
2.49
Manchester United xG
League Avg: 1.52
Total
3.35
0.85
Leeds xG
League Avg: 1.29
1x2 probabilities
Home
69.0%
Draw
16.1%
Away
10.7%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
10.9%
Tip
2 - 1
9.3%
Tip
3 - 0
9.1%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 2.50 (league 1.52), Leeds = 0.85 (league 1.29)
| Leeds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchester United | 0 | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 10.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1