Premijer Liga
— Bosnia
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 16:00 •
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.36)
0.25 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.9% | 21.3% | 5.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
2 - 0
20.5%
0 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sloga Doboj | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Sarajevo | 0 | 13.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.0% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
FK Sarajevo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 146 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FK Sarajevo +4.3, Sloga Doboj -5.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
FK Sarajevo
vs
Sloga Doboj
Elo gapFK Sarajevo +146
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3038
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3038
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1574.7 | 1463.3 |
| Form Elo | 1591.4 | 1462.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1557.3 | 1470.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1527.6 | 1434.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1596.1 | 1531 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.3 | -5.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. FK Sarajevo last-5 Elo change: +4.3; Sloga Doboj last-5 Elo change: -5.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 38% | 15% |
| Defense | 77% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 71% | 27% | 48% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 29% | 20% | 24% | 20% | 43% | 31% |
| Loses | 0% | 53% | 28% | 47% | 57% | 52% |
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Sloga DobojWWLLDDLWDLLLLDWDDLDLLLLLDWLDL
League goals
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 13 | 39 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 21 | 30 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 52% | 38% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 34% | 17% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 7% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
Penalties
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FK Sarajevo | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.43 @ Dafabet
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away7.43 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ Unibet
No1.62 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FK Sarajevo
vs
Sloga Doboj
Expected goals
1.68
FK Sarajevo xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
1.93
0.25
Sloga Doboj xG
League Avg: 0.96
1x2 probabilities
Home
72.9%
Draw
21.3%
Away
5.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
24.4%
Tip
2 - 0
20.5%
Tip
0 - 0
14.5%
More chances
1.5+
59%
Chance
2.5+
41%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
55%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FK Sarajevo = 1.73 (league 1.32), Sloga Doboj = 0.25 (league 0.97)
| Sloga Doboj | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Sarajevo | 0 | 13.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.0% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.0% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 4.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1