Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.6% | 23.2% | 56.2% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| FSV Frankfurt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kickers Offenbach | 0 | 6.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Away lean
FSV Frankfurt carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 20 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kickers Offenbach +16.9, FSV Frankfurt +14.4.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1537.5 | 1592.1 |
| Form Elo | 1543.9 | 1610.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1548.3 | 1562.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1577.4 | 1712.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1514.9 | 1531.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +16.9 | +14.4 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Kickers Offenbach last-5 Elo change: +16.9; FSV Frankfurt last-5 Elo change: +14.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 56% | 61% |
| Defense | 78% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 27% | 34% | 33% | 64% | 48% |
| Draws | 29% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 14% | 24% |
| Loses | 29% | 47% | 38% | 33% | 21% | 28% |
League goals
| Metric | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 24 | 48 | 27 | 28 | 55 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 19 | 29 | 48 | 22 | 14 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 79% | 97% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 41% | 48% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 28% | 28% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kickers Offenbach | FSV Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Kickers Offenbach = 0.94 (league 1.81), FSV Frankfurt = 1.78 (league 1.58)
| FSV Frankfurt | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kickers Offenbach | 0 | 6.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 56.2%
