Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 02:30 •
BMO Stadium
Expected Goals
4.68 (league 1.28)
1.47 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.3%
5 - 1
5.9%
3 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Colorado Rapids | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Los Angeles FC | 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Los Angeles FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 199 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Los Angeles FC -3.2, Colorado Rapids +45.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Los Angeles FC
vs
Colorado Rapids
Elo gapLos Angeles FC +199
Home / draw / away62% / 18% / 20%
Expected home share76%
Combined Elo3154.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3154.7
Elo home share
76%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1659.5 | 1495.2 |
| Form Elo | 1657.1 | 1526.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1587 | 1456.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1731.5 | 1559.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1650.8 | 1448.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -3.2 | +45.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Los Angeles FC last-5 Elo change: -3.2; Colorado Rapids last-5 Elo change: +45.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 45% | 68% |
| Defense | 73% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 80% | 33% | 63% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
Los Angeles FCWWWWDWLL
Colorado RapidsLWWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 25% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 75% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 38% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 13% | 38% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.44 @ Bet365
Draw5.33 @ Pinnacle
Away7.40 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.92 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.38 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Los Angeles FC
vs
Colorado Rapids
Expected goals
4.68
Los Angeles FC xG
League Avg: 1.28
Total
6.15
1.47
Colorado Rapids xG
League Avg: 0.98
1x2 probabilities
Home
54.2%
Draw
7.2%
Away
5.6%
Best score tips
Tip
4 - 1
6.3%
Tip
5 - 1
5.9%
Tip
3 - 1
5.4%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
74%
Chance
3.5+
53%
Chance
BTTS
73%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Los Angeles FC = 4.68 (league 1.28), Colorado Rapids = 1.47 (league 0.98)
| Colorado Rapids | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Los Angeles FC | 0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 5.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1