Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:30 •
WFV Hirschstetten Sportplatz
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.37)
0.31 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 32.6% | 10.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.7%
0 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Mauer | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Donau | 0 | 23.5% | 7.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Donau carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 132 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Donau -7.5, Union Mauer +6.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Donau
vs
Union Mauer
Elo gapDonau +132
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo3057.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3057.4
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Donau | Union Mauer |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1577 | 1480.4 |
| Form Elo | 1576.4 | 1474.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1550.8 | 1507.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1518.4 | 1405.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1642.7 | 1575.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -7.5 | +6.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Donau last-5 Elo change: -7.5; Union Mauer last-5 Elo change: +6.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Donau | Union Mauer |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 57% | 0% |
| Defense | 100% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Donau | Union Mauer | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 58% | 31% | 44% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
| Draws | 33% | 46% | 40% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
| Loses | 8% | 23% | 16% | 38% | 31% | 35% |
DonauDDWDWWLLWWWWLDWLWWDDDDDDW
Union MauerWDLWDWLLWLLLWDDDLLWLDDDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Donau | Union Mauer | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Donau | Union Mauer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 40% | 42% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 20% | 19% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 8% | 0% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Donau | Union Mauer | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Donau | Union Mauer |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Donau | Union Mauer |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Donau | Union Mauer |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 0% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Donau
vs
Union Mauer
Expected goals
1.13
Donau xG
League Avg: 1.37
Total
1.45
0.31
Union Mauer xG
League Avg: 1.12
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.1%
Draw
32.6%
Away
10.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
26.7%
Tip
0 - 0
23.5%
Tip
2 - 0
15.1%
More chances
1.5+
51%
Chance
2.5+
36%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
46%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Donau = 1.13 (league 1.37), Union Mauer = 0.31 (league 1.12)
| Union Mauer | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Donau | 0 | 23.5% | 7.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 10.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1