Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 05:00 •
Yurtec Stadium Sendai
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.46)
1.06 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 34.2% | 52.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
25.1%
0 - 0
23.6%
0 - 2
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| INAC Kobe Leonessa W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vegalta Sendai | 0 | 23.6% | 25.1% | 13.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
INAC Kobe Leonessa W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 152 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vegalta Sendai -10.1, INAC Kobe Leonessa W +24.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vegalta Sendai
vs
INAC Kobe Leonessa W
Elo gapINAC Kobe Leonessa W +152
Home / draw / away24% / 18% / 58%
Expected home share29%
Combined Elo3132.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3132.6
Elo home share
29%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1472.7 | 1659.9 |
| Form Elo | 1477.4 | 1685.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1485.3 | 1561 |
| Attack Elo | 1418 | 1738.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1484.2 | 1640.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -10.1 | +24.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vegalta Sendai last-5 Elo change: -10.1; INAC Kobe Leonessa W last-5 Elo change: +24.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 22% | 100% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 44% | 39% | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| Draws | 56% | 22% | 39% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Loses | 11% | 33% | 22% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Vegalta SendaiDDLWWDDDWLWWWDLWDL
INAC Kobe Leonessa WWLWWWWDWWWWWWDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 19 | 42 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 61% | 94% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 67% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 0% | 28% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | INAC Kobe Leonessa W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 6% | 94% |
| Total | 26.4% | 73.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Vegalta Sendai
vs
INAC Kobe Leonessa W
Expected goals
0.38
Vegalta Sendai xG
League Avg: 1.46
Total
1.44
1.06
INAC Kobe Leonessa W xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
13.2%
Draw
34.2%
Away
52.5%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
25.1%
Tip
0 - 0
23.6%
Tip
0 - 2
13.3%
More chances
1.5+
63%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
59%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Vegalta Sendai = 0.38 (league 1.46), INAC Kobe Leonessa W = 1.06 (league 1.19)
| INAC Kobe Leonessa W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vegalta Sendai | 0 | 23.6% | 25.1% | 13.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 52.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1