WK-League
— South-Korea
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 05:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.39)
0.05 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6% | 29.8% | 1.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
34.3%
0 - 0
28.0%
2 - 0
20.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Gyeongju | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Boeun Sangmu | 0 | 28.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Boeun Sangmu carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 30 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Boeun Sangmu +7.6, Gyeongju -26.4.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Boeun Sangmu
vs
Gyeongju
Elo gapBoeun Sangmu +30
Home / draw / away40% / 27% / 33%
Expected home share54%
Combined Elo2967.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2967.6
Elo home share
54%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1481.3 | 1486.3 |
| Form Elo | 1491.3 | 1426.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1497.8 | 1525.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1477.7 | 1546.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1525.1 | 1477.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +7.6 | -26.4 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Boeun Sangmu last-5 Elo change: +7.6; Gyeongju last-5 Elo change: -26.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 11% |
| Attack | 30% | 20% |
| Defense | 100% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
31%
FT probability
2.5+
22%
FT probability
3.5+
16%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | — | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | — | 67% |
Boeun SangmuWWW
GyeongjuLLD
League goals
| Metric | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Boeun Sangmu | Gyeongju |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Boeun Sangmu
vs
Gyeongju
Expected goals
1.22
Boeun Sangmu xG
League Avg: 1.39
Total
1.27
0.05
Gyeongju xG
League Avg: 1.21
1x2 probabilities
Home
68.6%
Draw
29.8%
Away
1.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
34.3%
Tip
0 - 0
28.0%
Tip
2 - 0
20.9%
More chances
1.5+
31%
Chance
2.5+
22%
Chance
3.5+
16%
Chance
BTTS
54%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Boeun Sangmu = 1.22 (league 1.39), Gyeongju = 0.05 (league 1.21)
| Gyeongju | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Boeun Sangmu | 0 | 28.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.6% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 1.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1