Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.9% | 41.1% | 20.9% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Loto Popo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dynamo Abomey | 0 | 29.8% | 14.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Away lean
Loto Popo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 21 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dynamo Abomey -13.1, Loto Popo +7.9.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1493.2 | 1549 |
| Form Elo | 1486.7 | 1551.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.9 | 1506.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1412.9 | 1519.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1587.7 | 1578.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -13.1 | +7.9 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Dynamo Abomey last-5 Elo change: -13.1; Loto Popo last-5 Elo change: +7.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 29% | 64% |
| Defense | 64% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 54% | 8% | 32% | 77% | 33% | 56% |
| Draws | 31% | 50% | 40% | 15% | 17% | 16% |
| Loses | 15% | 42% | 28% | 8% | 50% | 28% |
League goals
| Metric | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 8 | 32 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 48% | 68% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 16% | 36% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 4% | 16% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dynamo Abomey | Loto Popo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 43.7% | 56.3% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Dynamo Abomey = 0.74 (league 1.09), Loto Popo = 0.47 (league 0.74)
| Loto Popo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dynamo Abomey | 0 | 29.8% | 14.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 41.1% · Away win 20.9%
