Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.46)
0.40 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.4% | 30.5% | 11.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.2%
0 - 0
19.6%
2 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| RSD Alcalá | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Conquense | 0 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Conquense | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 67% | 44% |
| Defense | 11% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Conquense | RSD Alcalá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 44% | 13% | 29% | 63% | 11% | 35% |
| Draws | 44% | 63% | 53% | 25% | 44% | 35% |
| Loses | 11% | 25% | 18% | 13% | 44% | 29% |
ConquenseLLWDWDDDWDDWDDWDL
RSD AlcaláLWDDWLWDWLDLWLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Conquense | RSD Alcalá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Conquense | RSD Alcalá | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 47% | 76% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 24% | 24% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Conquense | RSD Alcalá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Conquense | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Conquense | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Conquense | RSD Alcalá |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away4.10 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.17 @ Marathonbet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Conquense
vs
RSD Alcalá
Expected goals
1.23
Conquense xG
League Avg: 1.46
Total
1.63
0.40
RSD Alcalá xG
League Avg: 1.11
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.4%
Draw
30.5%
Away
11.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
24.2%
Tip
0 - 0
19.6%
Tip
2 - 0
14.9%
More chances
1.5+
61%
Chance
2.5+
43%
Chance
3.5+
30%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Conquense = 1.23 (league 1.46), RSD Alcalá = 0.40 (league 1.11)
| RSD Alcalá | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Conquense | 0 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 11.9%
vtt 2 , vtd1